Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000527 0.000609 0.000698 0.000799 0.000911 0.001031 0.001169
2025-06-29 0.000392 0.000503 0.000631 0.000789 0.000974 0.001185 0.001441
2025-07-06 0.000315 0.000436 0.000583 0.000771 0.001002 0.001275 0.001618
2025-07-13 0.000273 0.000403 0.000568 0.000788 0.001068 0.001408 0.001846
2025-07-20 0.000239 0.000374 0.000552 0.000798 0.001121 0.001523 0.002053
2025-07-27 0.000204 0.000340 0.000525 0.000790 0.001147 0.001603 0.002215
2025-08-03 0.000175 0.000308 0.000498 0.000777 0.001164 0.001669 0.002359
2025-08-10 0.000156 0.000290 0.000487 0.000786 0.001210 0.001771 0.002551
2025-08-17 0.000138 0.000270 0.000472 0.000785 0.001240 0.001853 0.002718
2025-08-24 0.000116 0.000242 0.000442 0.000761 0.001235 0.001886 0.002819
2025-08-31 0.000099 0.000218 0.000415 0.000739 0.001230 0.001918 0.002918
2025-09-07 0.000087 0.000203 0.000401 0.000736 0.001253 0.001987 0.003068
2025-09-14 0.000076 0.000189 0.000388 0.000733 0.001276 0.002059 0.003226
2025-09-21 0.000066 0.000173 0.000371 0.000722 0.001286 0.002112 0.003359
2025-09-28 0.000056 0.000157 0.000351 0.000706 0.001287 0.002151 0.003471
2025-10-05 0.000052 0.000152 0.000351 0.000721 0.001338 0.002264 0.003692
2025-10-12 0.000047 0.000146 0.000348 0.000731 0.001380 0.002365 0.003897
2025-10-19 0.000041 0.000136 0.000335 0.000724 0.001392 0.002421 0.004036
2025-10-26 0.000035 0.000125 0.000320 0.000711 0.001396 0.002464 0.004158
2025-11-02 0.000032 0.000120 0.000317 0.000720 0.001435 0.002560 0.004360
2025-11-09 0.000028 0.000113 0.000310 0.000719 0.001457 0.002632 0.004527
2025-11-16 0.000023 0.000101 0.000291 0.000697 0.001442 0.002643 0.004601
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000091 0.000274 0.000676 0.001427 0.002656 0.004677